Believe an NDA victory will be sentimentally positive for the market, while its defeat may weigh on sentiment.
Nishant Kumar
Published11 Nov 2025, 07:32 PM IS
The Bihar election 2025 result will be declared on November 14. (PTI Photo)(PTI11_11_2025_000080A)(PTI)
The Bihar election 2025 has concluded with record voter turnout, and several exit polls suggest the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) may return to power.
The outcome of assembly elections usually does not have a major impact on stock market sentiment, as they are contested on local issues and may not necessarily influence the pace or extent of the central government’s policy decisions.
However, it is difficult to say that the results of the 2025 Bihar elections, the third most populous state in India, will be a non-event for the markets.
Bihar election 2025: What do exit polls say?
As Mint reported, the Bihar election's exit polls put the NDA in an advantageous position. Dainik Bhaskar predicts 145–160 seats for NDA and 73–91 seats for Mahagathbandhan (MGB). People's Insight predicts 133–148 seats for NDA and 87–102 seats for MGB. People's Pulse expects 133–159 seats for NDA and 75–101 seats for MGB.
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As the Bihar elections conclude with a high voter turnout, exit polls hint at an NDA victory. Analysts weigh in on potential market reactions, emphasising the local issues at play and the limited impact on central policy.
Published11 Nov 2025, 07:32 PM IS
The Bihar election 2025 result will be declared on November 14. (PTI Photo)(PTI11_11_2025_000080A)(PTI)
The Bihar election 2025 has concluded with record voter turnout, and several exit polls suggest the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) may return to power.
The outcome of assembly elections usually does not have a major impact on stock market sentiment, as they are contested on local issues and may not necessarily influence the pace or extent of the central government’s policy decisions.
However, it is difficult to say that the results of the 2025 Bihar elections, the third most populous state in India, will be a non-event for the markets.
Bihar election 2025: What do exit polls say?
As Mint reported, the Bihar election's exit polls put the NDA in an advantageous position. Dainik Bhaskar predicts 145–160 seats for NDA and 73–91 seats for Mahagathbandhan (MGB). People's Insight predicts 133–148 seats for NDA and 87–102 seats for MGB. People's Pulse expects 133–159 seats for NDA and 75–101 seats for MGB.